Quote Originally Posted by bspahn
no joke no. i'd call any other player at this low level. in this case i'd say perhaps 50% i was beat by the flush. so i have 32.5% if i push but it's either a fold or a call here...

critizice and share advice, but comments like joke and stupid and this is wrong are useless if you're trying to help someone's play.
I take offense.

I'd like to say we're friends, and I called it as I saw it. You haven't even taken the time to reply to my points.

Besides, your math is off. Lets assume you're COMPLETELY right. 50% he has the flush. 50% he doesn't and he folds.

Well, you win what's in the pot 50% of the time! The pot's got $28 in it! When he has a flush, you got 32.5% and as explained you lose 8.50

Under your assumptions, pushing has a +EV of (0.5)(28)+(0.5)(-8.5) = about $10.

Why do i push? 'cos I don't want him drawing to the flush if that's what he's on. It's debatable whether pushing or calling is the play. But as long as we don't fold, I'm happy