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sigh and call or sigh and fold?

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  1. #1
    Guest

    Default sigh and call or sigh and fold?

    villain 27/11/1 over 60


    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    UTG ($100)
    UTG+1 ($151.90)
    MP1 ($50)
    MP2 ($95.75)
    MP3 ($100)
    Hero (CO) ($100)
    Button ($32.75)
    SB ($160.30)
    BB ($125.15)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with Q, K
    3 folds, MP2 calls $1, 1 fold, Hero bets $5, 1 fold, SB calls $4.50, 1 fold, MP2 calls $4

    Flop: ($16) 2, 4, 3 (3 players)
    SB checks, MP2 checks, Hero bets $10, SB calls $10, 1 fold

    Turn: ($36) K (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $24, SB calls $24

    River: ($84) K (2 players)
    SB bets $60.95
  2. #2
    Fold.
    3k post - Return of the blog!
  3. #3
    what was the timing?

    and probably fold
  4. #4
    also I'm not really sold on the flop cbet, it's so easy for a donk to float with Ax here as well as the multitude of overpairs and draws in their ranges.
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  5. #5
    Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by badgers
    also I'm not really sold on the flop cbet, it's so easy for a donk to float with Ax here as well as the multitude of overpairs and draws in their ranges.
    and then fold to a second barrel on most turns, or i can wait for the river
  6. #6
    BankItDrew's Avatar
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    I also hate cbetting the flop here because it might very well be a flop where the largest % of hands are check calling or even check raising. Any ace may call or check raise, any pp may call or check raise, any 5, any heart draw etc. The ideal missed flop for you is something more like J22 rainbow, not this coordinated low flop.

    As played though, turn is fine and river is a fold.
  7. #7
    Guest
    guys i'm dead convinced that a large majority of the time a random unknown is going to just flat with any pair, any ace, and any FD, then fold on a later street, usually the river, as long as no heart, ace, or 5 hits. If I check flop I think they'll usually bet that same range on the turn and make me fold.
  8. #8
    Guest
    yeah, but after you check turn they'll bluff river or c/c if they have showdown
  9. #9
    Guest
    sometimes, but ime their gonna checkfold ax, 4x, 3x, 2x, and some small pairs, plus a good chunk of their 5x/FD.

    Idunno it's probably pretty close between not cbetting and doing as I did but I think it's interesting.
  10. #10
    BankItDrew's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TwoSmeets
    sometimes, but ime their gonna checkfold ax, 4x, 3x, 2x, and some small pairs, plus a good chunk of their 5x/FD.
    What does ime mean?

    fwiw, you only have 60 hands on villain and he's playing more than 25% of his hands so i wouldn't give him much credit for anything yet.

    add this into calling preflop then folding to a cbet with hands that hit this flop - i don't see it happening.
  11. #11
    If it wasn't for the drawy board, I'm checking the turn behind.
  12. #12
    Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by BankItDrew
    Quote Originally Posted by TwoSmeets
    sometimes, but ime their gonna checkfold ax, 4x, 3x, 2x, and some small pairs, plus a good chunk of their 5x/FD.
    What does ime mean?

    fwiw, you only have 60 hands on villain and he's playing more than 25% of his hands so i wouldn't give him much credit for anything yet.

    add this into calling preflop then folding to a cbet with hands that hit this flop - i don't see it happening.
    what i'm saying is i expect them to almost always call the cbet but then fold on a later street

    oh and ime is in my experience

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