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 Originally Posted by Warpe
I'm hardly harping. But when one posts a hand for analysis, one should expect feedback on all streets. The tough decision is on the flop, but we could have avoided having to make it by limping preflop. Saying the preflop decision doesn't matter here is like saying the fact we never took driving lessons had nothing to do with the car accident we just got into.
I think you have a fair point. One should never attempt isolation OOP with a vulnerable hand not knowing the table yet. That's good advice in it's own right.
Given that hero did in fact gravely misread the table dynamic, and is now in a tough spot, you have to imagine the equity of betting here on the flop is +EV. I wish we could put together the actual numbers. I'm sure they're real close. I like the fact that any further action is clearly defined, and therefore overrides pot odds on a lot of occassions on late streets. To me, pot odds/committment is overvalued when the villains range is tight to a range you're behind. I think you can fold a lot with 3-1 and 4-1 in spots like that, because those odds become dirty considering the range you're likely against. I'm betting $40 to win $80 on this flop everytime though with TT, and correctly folding a lot to resistence with good odds.
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