I have alot of trouble with this kind of hand too. I think you are behind there most of the time.

Preflop: His range has to be pretty wide here since you look like a possible steal. Shall we say:

AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT, 99, 88, AK, AQ, (AJ, KQ ?)

Flop. That call rules out the big offsuite cards.

AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT, 99, 88, AKs, AQs, (AJs, KQs)

I can see any of these cards calling if he still puts you on a steal/likes to chase draws.

I dont think 88 raises the turn. I think TT, JJ probably raise the flop if they are going to raise. I think the big suited cards proably raise the flop if they are going to raise so Im going to take a leap of faith agaisnt a narrower range of:

AA, KK, QQ, 99.


So against the optimistic range you are:



equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 48.3665 % 46.80% 01.56% { QhQs }
Hand 2: 51.6335 % 50.07% 01.56% { 99+, AcKc, AcQc, AcJc, KcQc }

Slightly the ragged end of a coinflip.

Against the narrow range you are a massive underdog.



Given the action it is more likely he has a big pair/ set than a semibluffed draw (or 88).

Villain is clearly playing for stacks and has another $29 (ish). You will need to invest another $64 to win $139 so you are getting slightly better than 2:1.

You can call if he will play TT, and JJ like this. You have to fold if he wont. I think most of the time this will be a fold.


equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 45.1299 % 43.34% 01.79% { QhQs }
Hand 2: 54.8701 % 53.08% 01.79% { 99+ }



Like I said I am these situations cause me alot of headaches so I am mostly posting this so someone can correct me. I suspect my ranges are a little off.