Quote Originally Posted by wesrman
I read this in your OP. Great stuff.
Really gave me some things to think about.
IMO, you dont get the recognition around here that you deserve.
I think you have as much good advice as anyone else, and are always willing to lend a hand.
Thanks...
thanks man, glad to hear it´s not totally useless what I´m producing


Quote Originally Posted by Unibomber14
If you use the EV equation that way, is that a working model for fold equity? If not, what is the actual equation?
yea, u can easily take FE into account.

say u shove full pot X w/ A Q on a board of

T 9 6 4

vs a range of 99-QQ, T8,T9,JT,QT (88 combinations) against which u have 28% equity

If opponents never fold and equity plays out your expectation would be

EV = .28*(2X) - .72*(X) = -.16(X)

Now assume he folds anything but his pp´s or folds 64 of 88 combinations, roughly 72% the time. We have 25% equity vs his remaining range of 99-QQ, which he plays 38% the time

eV = .38[.25*(2X) - .75*(X)] + .72*(X) = .625X
where the underlined term is your folding equity