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 Originally Posted by Sin Uggla
IMO as played, A9 is as likely as 99.
You need to be aware this isn't true. There are 6 combos of A9 (two aces multiplied by three nines), one of which is suited (spades). There are three combos of 99.
So, he's twice as likely to have A9 than 99 (6/3), but he's three times more likely to have 99 than A9s (3/1).
Whichever way you look at it, your quoted comment here is incorrect. I understand the point you're making... that A9 could play the hand like this too... but to say both are equally as likely is an incorrect assumption, and could contribute to an incorrect decision.
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