|
 Originally Posted by Bbickes
 Originally Posted by XxStacksxX
The c/r is fine. UTG is cbetting into a 4way pot, which means his range is likely pretty strong. A c/r is repping a pretty thin value range, something like 77/A2s. So I'd expect him to call or 3bet your c/r with most of his range, overpairs and such.
C/calling isn't a terrible option, because he is likely to bet most turns when checked to, since his likely range is overpairs. However, you think need to c/r the turn, or c/c turn, and c/raise river, and by then the board might come out pretty scary for his weakish overpairs.
I'd just c/r, because people love to think you are doing it with flush draws here.
This assumes way too much imo.
What assumptions is this directed at?
It should be apparent that his range is pretty strong. Unless of course villain is terribly loose preflop, or not positionally aware. The majority of his range is pocket pairs, and suited broadways (obv). With the board being only 7 high, then obv the majority of his pocket pairs, are now overpairs. So his range is fairly strong. Without reads, I don't see how that assumption can really be disputed.
Our value c/raising range is relatively narrow. I also don't think this assumption can really be disputed as we obv squeeze KK-AA, and maybe JJ-QQ depending. We aren't c/raising our small pocket pairs when an UTG opener cbets a 4way flop, so a c/r really only reps 77/A2, maybe QQ. However, given the great pot odds we had calling preflop, we are likely to have loads of flush draws in our range, and while we likely don't c/r those hands here, villain's definitely do not know this.
If you are stating that we are assuming that villain is competent and knows this, then yeah, that's really the only disputable assumption I made, as most villains aren't coherently thinking about our range. However, if that is the case, then I still do not give them the credit to fold the majority of their overpairs, which is still (unless they are very lose from UTG) the majority of their range.
C/calling is not terrible, as it allows any flush draws he has to possibly catch up, as well as any AK/AQ hand. And he is still likely to valuebet his overpairs on the turn. However, being OOP I would prefer to take infinitive, and build a pot.
|