wrote an essay did some pokerstove deleted essay.

If you put his range as JJ+, AKs we have 43% of it so I am happy to get it in here given bs factor/don't push me around stuff/testicle waving.

If you take his range as QQ+, AKs we have 26% and should fold.

I used AKs to simulate that AK doesnt always shove over here. It also skews it more towards getting it allin than leaving it out.

So the question basically is how often does JJ turn up? With a tighty I would say not so often hence check folding the flop. Yeack that feels weak - especially on this ideal flop.

That means we are calling the preflop 3 bet with the clear intention due to being oop and 3bet by a tighty to trip it or dump it. $5 call to win $42 which is 8.4 to 1. I know Dan harrington said in a book sometimes 5:1 is all you need but this almost suggests folding preflop is not a huge mistake.

someone please tell me I am wrong.