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 Originally Posted by reDZill4
Originally Posted by elipsesjeff
I must not get something here but I get this in on the turn ~ 100% of the time...
im interested in hearing your reasoning.
Miffed touched on most of it but my reasoning:
UTG's standard range headed to turn: 99+ and maybe AK; we beat everything but TT here and I would expect villain to valuebet 99-JJ here quite often.
He has JJ and 99 (3 combos each) as often as he has TT here (6 combos) so its equally likely we're ahead and behind. Given our massive equity advantage over the sets when we're ahead (~88% with ties) and how much equity we have when we're behind by the straight (~25% with ties) we come out with the best of it quite often.
Throw in the extra money in the pot I bet/call my stack off here all day, expect to cooler 99-JJ and get paid off and the river decision is almost inexistent. I am surprised at how many would fold though.
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