|
 Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer
It's gonna be interesting for sure. I don't have a position yet, probably because most of what's out there is not very good analysis.
Essentially what makes midterm elections turn out the way they do is where on the spectrum we are between "anti-president enthusiasm" and "the goodness of the economy". The way things are now, it is really hard to tell which will be more powerful. There is a degree of anti-Trump enthusiasm in the Democratic base, but depending on how well perceived the economy is, that enthusiasm will grow or diminish enough to create a blue wave or nothing of the sort.
If I have to bet on it, I would say signs are that there will not be a blue wave. But I'm not certain enough about it to express a position.
|