Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
Depends what you mean by "invasion".
Correction: ANOTHER invasion. It's just not logistically possible. It's all posturing. 100k troops aren't going to accomplish anything unless Ukraine does a runner. At the height of WWII there were close to 10m troops active on the Russian front, about 6m Russian and 3.5m German and allied. 100k sounds like a big number but it's not.


Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
A lack of invasion is a "win" for the west, even though it was never on the cards in the first place.
Makes you wonder what Putin is actually trying to accomplish then. He loses either way.



Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
What Putin wants is autonomy for Russian-speaking regions of Ukraine, as outlined in the Minsk Agreement. However, a BBC correspondent recently reported that "Ukraine could never implement the Minsk Agreements, because it could result in some pro-Putin MPs being elected to the Ukrainian parliament from the Eastern areas".

Let that sink in.
The Minsk II agreement was to start a dialogue on interim self-gov't for those areas that had basically revolted and set up their own gov'ts, not that the Ukraine would liberate some more areas of its own territory. Why would they agree to that?

Both FRA and GER are in favour of the Minsk II agreement, and they wouldn't agree to further weakening of the Ukraine either.