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*** Official Global Warming Thread ***

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  1. #1
    CoccoBill's Avatar
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    http://www.theguardian.com/environme...global-warming

    In other news:

    Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
    Quote: "I won’t let anyone take us backward, deny our economy the benefits of harnessing a clean energy future, or force our children to endure the catastrophe that would result from unchecked climate change.”

    Senator Ted Cruz
    Quote: “According to the satellite data, there has been no significant global warming for the past 18 years.”

    Senator Bernie Sanders
    Quote: “It’s time for a political revolution that takes on the fossil fuel billionaires, accelerates our transition to clean energy.”

    Donald Trump
    Quote: “I think there’s a change in weather. I am not a great believer in man-made climate change.”
    Our brains have just one scale, and we resize our experiences to fit.

  2. #2
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
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    This is a pretty good article, and it has excellent links
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by CoccoBill View Post
    http://www.theguardian.com/environme...global-warming

    In other news:

    Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
    Quote: "I won’t let anyone take us backward, deny our economy the benefits of harnessing a clean energy future, or force our children to endure the catastrophe that would result from unchecked climate change.”

    Senator Ted Cruz
    Quote: “According to the satellite data, there has been no significant global warming for the past 18 years.”

    Senator Bernie Sanders
    Quote: “It’s time for a political revolution that takes on the fossil fuel billionaires, accelerates our transition to clean energy.”

    Donald Trump
    Quote: “I think there’s a change in weather. I am not a great believer in man-made climate change.”
    If I can break this down into "your side" and the "other side," I think your side is fighting for a Pyrrhic victory and the other side is fighting for a real victory even though it loses them the Pyrrhic victory. Let me explain.

    Why does it matter if people acknowledge anthropogenic global warming? What good will it do? The answer is that it won't do any good, yet it will make people feel good. The proposed solutions in so-called green and renewable energy are not solutions. In fact, they make things worse, sometimes by being uneconomical (and creating more waste that way) or having hidden carbon footprints higher than the traditional alternatives.

    The other side sees giving an inch on this Pyrrhic victory as only making things worse since it would increase the amount of problems caused by these uneconomical alternatives by getting more people behind them. Furthermore, the problems that can be solved, both in humanity and with regards to AGW, are more likely to be solved through traditional methods because of their economical nature.

    Something to keep in mind: there are conservationists and environmentalists. They have a great deal of overlap in what they care about. On those issues, the former are typically successful at preserving what they intend and the latter are not. The different techniques they use are similar to the different techniques proposed in the climate change debate.
  4. #4
    CoccoBill's Avatar
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    ^Well, I see it differently. "My side" acknowledges a problem that needs addressing, the "other side" does not. What should be done and what would be viable are a subject for an entirely different discussion, first we must decide to act.

    What we could do, right now, for example:

    - Replace coal and natural gas with nuclear, solar, geothermal, wind etc.
    - Carbon taxes
    - Emission and fuel economy regulations
    - Stop deforestation
    - Carbon harvesting and storage

    What you're in essence saying, is that not all of those methods are viable or economical, so we shouldn't do anything. I might be in agreement that it's starting to be too late avoid a shitty outcome, but I don't have any stock options to lose on fossil fuels, and I do actually give a damn, so I'm all for at least trying.
    Our brains have just one scale, and we resize our experiences to fit.

  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by CoccoBill View Post
    What you're in essence saying, is that not all of those methods are viable or economical, so we shouldn't do anything.
    This isn't my point. I think doing what you propose is not economical and taking a handful of measures that the typical environmentalist doesn't like are the economical ones and would have positive benefit on the AGW issue.

    I might be in agreement that it's starting to be too late avoid a shitty outcome
    It isn't too late. The "outcome" hasn't been assessed by those who claim it's coming. Additionally, it's important to weigh both outcomes. As far as I can tell, the outcomes that would come from the proposed solutions would be a far greater disaster than what it seems could possibly happen in a worst-case scenario.

    Well, I see it differently. "My side" acknowledges a problem that needs addressing, the "other side" does not.
    The proposals by your side don't address the problem. This is why I call it Pyrrhic. The other side tends to not think there is a problem that needs addressing. Some of this comes from ignorance and some comes from not wanting to fan the flames of your side's fervor in addressing the problem wrongly. Where the other side is largely ignorant on the existence of climate change, your side is largely ignorant on effective measures to deal with it.

    Replace coal and natural gas with nuclear, solar, geothermal, wind etc.
    This can work in only small ways. At this point, it would make the economies and a large number of people in the West significantly worse off and it would make billions in developing countries so much worse than that that westerns would have a hard time fathoming it.

    Carbon taxes
    Cap and trade has benefit here, but carbon taxes do not. Cap and trade can provide incentive to economize on energy in ways that could put a minor dent (but a dent nonetheless) in global emissions. A carbon tax would result in a reduction of living standards for the average person and a transfer of wealth and power to those whose behavior is not cost prohibitive from the tax.

    Emission and fuel economy regulations
    These tend to result in higher indirect emissions and many unintended consequences. Here is a video claiming that electric cars create a greater negative externality than gas cars. This is only one small aspect of the topic you mentioned.



    Stop deforestation
    This would be great, but environmentalists would cringe at what it would take to actually get this done. Sadly, they probably wouldn't cringe at how much worse off their proposed methods would make people in developing countries. In developed countries, reforestation can be a thing, but it's not on the environmentalism radar. If you would like my opinion on why, I can give it, but I'm not giving it now because it involves insulting the typical environmentalist for their ignorance.

    Carbon harvesting and storage
    This is ungodly expensive. It's not hyperbole to say that doing this to any effective level would throw the modern world into chaos and living standards would plunge to depths not know for a long, long time.

    The only real hope regarding sequestration would be an economy so robust and advanced that it develops the technology to do so. Creating an unending crisis in the economy won't do that.
    Last edited by wufwugy; 04-14-2016 at 04:33 PM.

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