Man do I love this article

https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-inte...577#.wovcs5xob

If you don't know Nassim Taleb: he's a PhD statistician who revealed that Nate Silver's models are unsound because the uncertainty of results actually meant the probability was closer to 50:50. He introduced the concept of a "black swan," a rare yet highly impactful events that common statistical models don't properly adjust for. Most importantly, he introduced the wonderful description, Intellectual Yet Idiot, that so usefully describes the contemporary intelligentsia.