Quote Originally Posted by euphoricism
Thats probably true...

Lets look at the two lines for bowmans and pinnacle for San Diego vs Chiefs

San Diego Chargers -5 +100 @pinnacle
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS -6 -115 @bowmans

So this is a middling opportunity, correct? But as you pointed out, the scoring difference would have to be exactly 1 to hit it.

We'd take the pinnacle -5 for san diego, then bet +6 at bowmans for the chiefs.
B1) SD -5
B2) KS +6

San diego wins by 7+: Win B1, Lose B2, push - vig
San diego wins by 6: Win B1, Push B2: Net +1
San Diego wins by 5: Push 1, Win 2: Net +1
San Diego Wins by 4: ... wait... somethings wrong.

What did I screw up? There is no middle here... or well, more exactly, the middle is on a half point at 5.5 which can't happen. So there needs to be a significantly larger spread.

I see the problem.
In football, you have to remember "key" numbers. 5 is nearly useless. 6 is kinda useful, but ultimately not that useful. It's worth a shot.

Just remember that you're more likely to bleed away little by little for awhile before you hit yoru firs tmiddle. I still haven't hit my first middle yet.