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 ensign_lee's Quest to be Better Than a Coinflip Week 6! (YTD: 30-34-1, +10.72 units)
YTD: 30-34-1, +10.72 units
Winning %: 46.88%
Breakeven winning %: 43.06%
Hooray for second halves! They've been saving my ass this season. 
~~~
Houston Texans -5 (+110)
1 unit at Matchbook
Damn, if we lose this one I am going to be one pissed off Texans fan. KC's run game is the strength of their offense, which just so happens to also be the strength of our D. I think a trend this year is going to be getting toasted by competent QBs and doing well vs teams that mostly run the ball this year.
Worries me that Pinnacle is hanging a -4 while everyone else has a -4.5 though. If that's still the case when I leave, I'll probably buy this back.
Texans/Chiefs OVER 44 (-115)
Taking another Texans over because I don't think the books have quite caught up yet if this total isn't at 48.5 like it was last week.
New England -2.5 (-105)
I try to take New England whenever they're not spotting the other team an absurd amount of points. This is still a talented, well coached team, playing at home. -2.5 is good value to me.
And oh boy, another Straddle:
Won one yesterday in NCAAF, so hopefully that carries over:
CLE +13.5, UNDER 37.5 (+275~ish)
2.96 units
PIT -13.5, OVER 37.5 (+275~ish)
2.96 units
CLE +7, UNDER 17.5 (+275~ish) 1st half
2.96 units
PIT -7, OVER 17.5 (+275~ish) 1st half
Usually I don't like doing straddles on key numbers like 7 since if either leg of the parlay pushes, then I'm out a fair amount of juice, but the total here was so low I thought it was worth it. I guess we'll see if it bites me in the ass.
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