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 Originally Posted by wufwugy
Now that the early voting has started, I don't care about the polls much anymore. Now is when my claims are put to the test. So far I appear to have been right. The early voting is showing a much different result than the polls that I criticized did. Go figure.
I will go figure: Early voters are self selecting and tend to not, as a group, be representative of voters overall. Further, different types of early voting tend to attract different types of voters. So early early voting returns, when early voting is predominantly mail in, will show one thing, but in person early voting will show another. The polls you refer to are not attempting to predict the early vote. You're trying to use a screwdriver to drive a nail and complaining about the results.
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