iirc the usc numbers always were different than the other polls. really im just referring to aggregation of the polls over the last ~6 weeks. he was way behind but then he closed. this caused clinton to finally give a faux presser and other things like the "why am i not 50 points ahead" comment. she thought she had it in the bag 6 weeks ago. now she's scrambling. it's becuase he closed ~10 poionts