steve deace explains why the latest round of iowa polls likely do not remotely represent reality.
http://stevedeace.com/news/pollsters-and-their-fools-paradise/
tldr: they assume 200% increase in voter turnout than previous highest (2008), yet there are no signs on the ground of that coming to pass. it appears that trump's "surge" is just the pollsters loosening their "likely voter" standards to the degree that they predict this highly unlikely outcome of landslide turnout for trump in the midst of no signs of so on the ground.
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