If Trump runs as an independent, it may finally kill off the hardline anti-immigration stance in the GOP. Bush would win the GOP nomination and run centrist and the most pro-Mexican candidate and the GOP would no longer have the pressure from the hardliners since they would go towards Trump. Also Trump would sap some of the votes from the far left, where the special interest union protectionism aligns well with anti-immigration.

In such a scenario, especially given Bush's pro-technology stance contrasted with Hillary's anti-technology stance, the GOP could even win California again.