If anybody cares, this shows how Cruz can win if Trump takes both Florida and Ohio (and Rubio and Kasich drop out the next day). This mirrors my back of napkin assessment of who takes which states, except I think Cruz could possibly take Illinois. Also it is possible that when we're late in the game, some of the NE states will start going towards Cruz.

If Trump is viewed like he was yesterday and Cruz is too, heads up Cruz would stomp Trump in most of the NE. But we can't rely on Trump looking as utterly awful then as he did after Thursday's debate.

It ain't over yet. The worthless media convinced lots of people it was.

Edit: note that the Puerto Rico results are wrong. They don't change the equation though.