CORONAVIRUS PANIC WE'RE ALL GOING TO DIE

[Poopadoop]

In the end though, does it matter if we're off by a few hundred?

It's obviously having a serious effect. People don't just suddenly drop dead in the tens of thousands from pneumonia alone.


Deaths from all causes by week, Castille/Leon, Spain.




The blue line is the estimated number of deaths one would expect in a typical Dec-April period, and the shaded blue region is some kind of statistical confidence interval (prolly 95%) for the range of expected deaths. The black line is this year's number of deaths.

NB: The little rise in the blue line over winter is the typical 'flu season bump. The big rise in the black line in March is CV.

[wufwugy]

Deaths from all causes by week, Castille/Leon, Spain.

Thanks for the graph. It's the kind of thing I'm looking for. It's reassuring that we're not miscounting by much.

[wufwugy]

Example: I'd like to see us decide that it's virtuous to encourage people to live healthier lifestyles. NOT villainize those who live unhealthy lifestyles.