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 Originally Posted by bjsaust
The only hand that beats you that makes sense is 99 and I cant imagine what someone so aggressive is doing limping that. Q9 shouldnt be in his limp/call range. Unless he decided to float with 55/22 you should be pretty good.
This was pretty much why I called, cause really only Q9 or 99 made sense at all in this spot. but yah... he had Q9. I agree that most of his range for jamming is bluff or boat though, so I guess its just a matter if he's bluffing more than X% of time.. which is kind of hard to figure out.
Originally Posted by Da GOAT
Hand 1: im not sure we can put 65, 66, 55, 22 out of his range after flop right? pretty much leaves us with him having draws, pair+GS and complete air and air is so v unlikely. Since he leads turn its hard to put him on a more certain range but he seems like he has a strong hand for sure. I dont think he will bet a str8/2pair at all on river so it seems he has a better flush.
I get into these kind of spots a lot, where I tell myself that I would have stacked off with my flush on the turn, and I'm still pretty sure that the only hand he can have here that beats me is a turned flush on this river, so I'll stack off here anyhow. Even though river card sucks.
I think this is pretty bad line of thinking, and I should probably just raise turn and hope he doesn't believe me with a straight or set. He had KdJd in this spot for a turned flush and nuts on river, wheeee.
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