Villain is 41/21/2.2 over a small sample. No reads.
$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
3 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
Hero (BTN) ($209.35)
SB ($204.10)
BB ($246.40)
Pre-flop: ($3, 3 players) Hero is BTN![]()
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Hero raises to $7, SB folds, BB calls $5
Flop:![]()
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($15, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $12, BB raises to $30, Hero calls $18
If his c/r all draws and all big hands then I have 47% equity against his range. Even if I take out a few of his flush draws and all his OESD's then I still have 32% which is more than enough to call his c/r. The only way I could fold would be if I thought I had massive reverse implied odds. I guess that's possible because I don't know much about him and he could be c/r-ing better top pair hands for all I know in which case my equity is worse on the flop and I'm going to play bad on loads of turns and rivers.
Turn:($75, 2 players)
BB bets $33, Hero calls $33
Really weird bet size from him here. Not sure what to make of it exactly.
Obviously if his range is only flush draws and sets/2 pair on the flop than I can't call here. If I think he's betting small like this because he has a set/2 pair and he's scared that I have a flush then I can shove perhaps. That would make him fold 13 combinations altogether and he would have the flush with 20 combinations. So he would fold 65% of the time which is really close to what I would need him to fold for the shove to be profitable. Shoving looks really suspicious though and sure who folds sets so I don't like that line.
If I include 89 in his flop c/r and bet turn range than I have 30% equity and I need 23 to make this call. This all seems really up in the air though and I really can't have a good enough idea of his range to know what to do.
I think I'll post this hand actually.
River:($141, 2 players)
BB bets $136,



($15, 2 players)
($75, 2 players)
($141, 2 players)
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