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here's a hand from session one (1 hour) which had me kind of uncomfortable. i think it confused me because his range is so much wider than most people's that it threw me off.
villain is 40/6/1.3 (3bet) over 238, he folds to cbets 53%and he raises flop cbets 11% (out of 19). these are all the stats i understand well enough to consider relevant to the play of this hand, let me know if anyone wants more info, so long as you tell me why it's relevant. ok. obviously he's passive and fishy. i have the following notes on him:
- open limp/call 22 in CO (too passive, doesn't ATS or take initiative)
- limp 26s on BU, call flop lead w/gutter (same as above, calls too light with draws)
- likes to limp/call all kinds of suited shit (basically an inference i made from the above notes so i dont end up with 1000 "L/C XXs" notes on him)
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Button ($16.27)
SB ($10.75)
BB ($55.95)
UTG ($32.25)
UTG+1 ($25.27)
Hero (MP1) ($27.90)
MP2 ($25)
CO ($6.61)
Preflop: Hero is MP1 with K , J
2 folds, Hero bets $0.40, 2 folds, Button calls $0.40, 2 folds
Flop: ($1.11) 4 , 5 , 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.80, Button raises to $1.80, Hero calls $1
Turn: ($4.71) 10 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $2.70, Hero calls $2.70
River: ($10.11) 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks
Total pot: $10.11 | Rake: $0.49
now, some ranges:
preflop
Me:
this is close to the bottom of my opening range here, i'd say my range is something like 22+,ATs+,AJo+,KJs+,KQo+,QJs,JTs
Villain:
his range is far too wide to spell out with any degree of precision or accuracy but i'll use this one for the sake of analysis:
22+,A2s+,A6o+,K2s+,K9o+,Q4s+,Q8o+,J5s+,J8o+,T6s+,T 7o+ and suited connectors 32s-98s, and offsuit connectors 32o-98o.
This comes to 46% of holdings according to pokerstove which may be too wide, but its probably better to play it safe with range estimates than exclude a hand from his range which actually may be in it. Should i be looking up his "Call Open" stat here instead of VPIP? never really put much thought to using that one because i don't have large enough samples on many players because i'm a volume fish. anyway, to continue the story
flop
Me (bet):
i'm betting probably any pair, set, or draw here, because villain's range is so wide and i'm looking to take it down with my middlish pairs, and get value with sets, high pairs, and flush draws (because he has so many worse ones).
Villain:
this is where his ranges get tricky for me. i assume that, being so passive, he probably doesn't raise TOO many non-"made" hands like naked flush draws. although he's a bad player and could well be raising any pair "to see where he's at" (oh by the way, his preflop 3bet is really small, 1%), so i'll say his range is:
22+, 23s,34s,45s
Me (call):
not that i was able to think ranges through nearly this clearly while the hand was played, i probably call the raise with a fair chunk of my betting range, definitely 22-55,88+ and all flush draws
turn
Me:
Bet with intentions of calling a raise/shove: all sets and KK+ (because he doesn't 3bet hands like JJ-QQ pre which he probably stacks off with on the turn)
Bet/fold (probably): 88,99,JJ,QQ. betting for value against one pairs/draws/combo hands (if he has them, i didn't know), fold because he seems passive so his range if he takes an aggressive line (esp. on the turn) is probably sets, straights, and big overpairs
Check: all flush draws because i think i have very minimal fold equity, i'm OOP, and i don't know enough about blocker bets to attempt one here. also, i expect villain to size his bet badly, so i can draw profitably against his nut hands
Villain:
Probably doesn't bet flush draws or 1pair/OESDs here because he's typically passive and he wants to hit. i'll say his betting range is:
A3s,22,44,55,TT,JJ+,45s,45o against which i have 19% equity, with pot odds of 2.7(ish):1 (27%). so i check/call because i think he sighs and calls 1/2-3/4 pot lead on any heart river with the turn range i gave him.
River:
easy check for me, i have a pretty hard time repping a three, and he probably doesn't fold even if i manage to. his range is strong, mine is weak = easy check. villain checked behind and showed 45s
notes for improvement:
during the actual play of the hand my estimates as to villain's range were far less precise than this because its hard to enumerate every hand in a villains range when it's so wide (compared to if he 3bets me preflop, in which case he has 30 combinations maximum), and so i wasn't able to calculate my equity with any accuracy. he may well have some flush draw combinations in his flop raising range, i dont know. that's why i'm posting.
also my mind clouded over facing the turn bet, i knew i was getting between 2:1 and 3:1, which i knew meant between 33 and 25% equity, but i wasn't sure where it fell between there, and so i didn't calculate how much extraction was required to breakeven on the river.
i've tried to go into as much detail as possible here about my thought process during this hand so if anyone reads it, please let me know anything you'd have thought/done differently regarding ranges, lines, HEM stats to use to guide the play of the hand etc.
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