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Hmm, I've noticed that over my last 3k hands I'm running about break even, but well ahead of EV which is a concern. I guess I've had a couple suckouts, but have also taken some beats. My "marginally ahead" hands are holding up more than expect. I've won 2 around 44% and then of the 5 between 50 and 75% I've won 4 of them. Largely it seems that while my "luck" is running about even (slightly good) for a change it seems I've had my suckouts in big pots and people have sucked out against me in small ones. For my total hands on noIQ I'm running only slightly above EV, so meh, maybe its not such an issue afterall.
I've had AA v's KK ai on JK9r flop hit runner runner straight, and QQ v's KK ai on 569r flop hit its 2 outer. I guess I wont get too concerned yet and just take some happy +ve variance, but maybe be a bit wary.
Possibly a bigger concern is my declining non-showdown wins. Until this month I've always maintained about neutral, slightly winning line for this, but I'm down close to $400 for the month so far. I'm sure this is from playing too many speculative hands. I'm getting position on fish, overlimping or calling with crap hands hoping to hit big v's them and not doing so. I dunno, gonna have to give this some thought. I want to play these guys who cant fold, but I think I need to be more picky about the hands I choose to do so. Rather than overlimp crap like 79o, fold that and raise stuff like Q9o. I need to look more into it I guess. I also think I'm playing the "lets call a flop and evaluate (i.e., fold) the turn" game WAY too much recently. Gotta pick my spots on that.
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