Quick update and a couple of thoughts that have struck me so far today. 1 hr session for $55 profit, nice . Really, two big hands and a bunch of blind trading. One of which was this hand: http://weaktight.com/228078 where I pushed PF, got called by AK and held up. It was a fold PF, but mainly because I didnt consider all the information, which brings me to the first thought.

DaGoat checked that hand for me, and he pointed out that since BB probably assumes shorty will call him a lot, he has to be prepared to showdown the best hand, making it less likely he's bluffing. Also, as mentioned in the comments, I made my play based on his HUD stats, but those stats were over a small sample, making it a poor read. When making a decision, especially a close/risky one, you really need to take into account ALL of the information available to help you make the right one.

Second thought came to me when considering some hands I'd had trouble with. Part of the problem was, I had medium str hands that I really couldnt decide if I was value betting or bluffing. The AK hand on the TT55x board above (third hand) is an example. I bet river, but am I betting it for value, or for bluff? I dunno, and thats a problem. Anyway, as I wound my head around it, something occurred to me. Now this is probably painfully obvious to most people, but it was a way of looking at things that made sense to me. Looking at that hand, I questioned "would I play Tx (i.e., the nuts) like that?". Usually you'd play a bluff like the nuts, after all, thats how you convince them to fold. So the question then was, if I had Tx would I value bet the river, or c/r the river? Obviously I only value bet if I think theres a chance to be called, otherwise I'm better off hoping he bluffs (no value in betting). So then I related that to bluffing:

1. If you'd bet for value with a strong hand expecting to be called, a bluff is bad.
2. If you wouldnt bet for value because you dont think you'd be called, a bluff is good.

Now as you play against better opposition they may start to 2nd level you and realise you wouldnt bet for value, so you must be bluffing, but against weak players, I think its probably a fair rule of thumb.

Thoughts?