OP: Make Penneywize Not Suck At Omaha

Well fuck me.

The Smashing Pumpkins release the greatest album they've made in ~14 years, and I'm completely unaware. They go on tour and I miss the fucking Montreal tour date (i.e. today). JFC.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SVCHpKvyCAg

Anyway, poker update. I've played another 5k hands or so over the last 2 weeks (incredibly weak volume I know), generally playing badly and running shitty.

I've noticed a bunch of horrible patterns creeping back into my play. One is calling down too lightly. Another is calling check-raises on the river without the nuts. Another is tilting towards the end of sessions being all like "w/e, this is PLO, I have equity. Implied odds, and such <clicks 'call'>", and it's costing me.

I think I'm only up about 20$ since my second try at 10PLO, down from a peak of about ~85. I'm still running below EV, but that's hardly the reason for my poor results.

Over the past few weeks I think I've had a tendency not to put in full review sessions, nor work on equities with Propokertools and what have you. This is probably part and parcel of my maladies as of late, and it's got to end.

So, for now, I've got a hand to post, let's see if I can get some advice on it.

Villain is 50/28 with an AF of 2 over about 100 hands.

Pre seems std, as for the flop, I don't want to over-rep here by raising; I'm not raising the nuts here very often if ever, and I'll sometimes, but rarely, raise sets here for balance / deception. Regardless, I call, and it's doubtful he'd even be aware of such tendencies.

Turn, I think I probably should have bet here; primarily as a means to get value from worse flushes, but also for creating fold equity against AsXsXX in the event of the board pairing on the river. Villain's deep enough to fold to a 2/3 psb on river if he calls a bet on turn. As for sizing I'd go something like 1/2 on this street.

If board pairs I figure worse flushes might give a crying call some non-zero percentage of the time, enough to make bet/folding the turn profitable.

Anyway, I don't bet the turn. River is just fucking weird. Is it not legitimate to think that he'd lead all of his nut hands here? Or have I played passively enough (given turn) to convince him that the only way to milk me is to check and hope I bet?

At any rate, once he check-raises, this is a fold, yes? Obviously my bet was designed to get some value from weaker flushes and rarely, other hands. Any chance he raises as a bluff here with any frequency?


$0.05/$0.10 Pot Limit Omaha Hi
PokerStars
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($12.65) 127bb
CO ($9.64) 96bb
Hero (BTN) ($10) 100bb
SB ($19.25) 193bb
BB ($8.13) 81bb

Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 5 players) Hero is BTN
UTG raises to $0.35, CO calls $0.35, Hero calls $0.35, SB calls $0.30, BB calls $0.25

Flop: ($1.75, 5 players)
SB bets $1, 3 folds, Hero calls $1

Turn: ($3.75, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($3.75, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.80, SB raises to $8.98 ...