Micro Steaks to Bigger Steaks

Originally Posted by StarGrinder

Regarding ATS, I checked my overall steal success over the last 12k hands and it's 60%. My standard steal size is 3bb therefore blinds need to fold a combined 67%. So I was like WTF why are these assholes telling me to steal more when I'm not even profitable.

Then I filtered for results when stealing from CO/BU/SB.

526 hands
26% WTSD
63% W$SD
+5.5 buyins
+104.75bb/100

Out of the hands won, only 1 hand was over 50bb and only 5 hands were over 25bb. That's a ton of smallish pots over and over and over. So the steal success stat in HEM doesn't really tell the whole story, so I have to ask, what the hell good is it?

Steal success is just what it says, how often your taking it down pre when ATS. You need 67% if you are folding EVERY single flop, which is never the case, so you aren't "losing" money as you stated. The only benefit of stealing doesn't just come from people folding preflop.

FWIW I rarely look at stealing success rate unless I am doing some kind of analysis of my HEM stats and looking to plug leaks.

It's days like today where poker makes me want to fucking stake someone through their forehead. Only 900 hands, down 5 buyins / 6.5 buyins below -EV. FML and this low limit shit. Almost 10k hands running break-fucking-even at goddamn 4NL FFS. Whopping win-rate over 13.5k hands is 3.50BB/1.75bb. I can't suck this bad, srsly.

/rant

inb4 bikes calls me a bitch

On a positive note my live bankroll has gone from $100 to over $1k in about 9 days so that's something to think about while I'm tilting over the fucking penny tables.

Originally Posted by StarGrinder

Whopping win-rate over 13.5k hands is 3.50BB/1.75bb.

Confused. Do you mean 1.75BB/100 (3.5bb/100)?

Just out of curiosity, how many bb/100 are you paying in rake?

Originally Posted by StarGrinder

On a positive note my live bankroll has gone from $100 to over $1k in about 9 days so that's something to think about while I'm tilting over the fucking penny tables.

Nice. What did you play earn that? How come you have a live roll? Are you planning on grinding it out live as well?

Originally Posted by L_Clan_Sup3rMaN

Confused. Do you mean 1.75BB/100 (3.5bb/100)?
Just out of curiosity, how many bb/100 are you paying in rake?

Yeah what you said. I had em backwards and have no idea which one people use. Over just 13.5k hands so far, I've had 828 raked hands for nearly $27 total at 4NL which equates to ~31c (7.5bb) per raked hand. That's goddamn insane when you compare % of rake to say that of a 100NL game.

Originally Posted by L_Clan_Sup3rMaN

Nice. What did you play earn that? How come you have a live roll? Are you planning on grinding it out live as well?

Yeah, I added a note in the OP about playing live. I basically started with $100 about 10 days ago 'officially'. I say officially because I've ran a 50NL home game a few times a month for a while but decided it was time to build a live roll rather than using it to buy worthless crap at the gas station every morning (and afternoon, see weight loss in OP). After 2 nights of home games and a trip to to an underground 1/2 game I'm up over $1K. I'll be half-stacking 200NL at the casino now until I've got at least $2K min. Live players are so bad they might as well just play their hands face up. I essentially started with the same amount, so if I grind out $10K live before I can do it online I'll have some decisions to make. I'm already waaaaay ahead ldo.

Also, a note about multi-tabling it. I fucking hate it at this point. I really do. I would honestly rather play 2 tables of 25NL/50NL right now than 10 tables of 4NL.

EDIT (3/9/2012) - I didn't delete this post because I wanted to come back here one day and laugh at it. Well that day didn't take long to come. So ha ha and ha. That is all.

Originally Posted by StarGrinder

It's days like today where poker makes me want to fucking stake someone through their forehead. Only 900 hands, down 5 buyins / 6.5 buyins below -EV. FML and this low limit shit. Almost 10k hands running break-fucking-even at goddamn 4NL FFS. Whopping win-rate over 13.5k hands is 3.50BB/1.75bb. I can't suck this bad, srsly.

/rant

inb4 bikes calls me a bitch

Sometimes dude it's better to simply make a good quit when you're down than keep grinding on relentlessly. Nobody plays better when they are stuck. Poker will still be there if you take a break for a few hours. Just reread over the goals you set and things should be fine.

Also you're a bitch.

Also, a note about multi-tabling it. I fucking hate it at this point. I really do. I would honestly rather play 2 tables of 25NL/50NL right now than 10 tables of 4NL. Today 01:02 AM

Drop some tables (say to 6), fine a good balance for you between quality and quantity.