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 Originally Posted by TheRedEyeJedi13
lol i remember u showing me that pic before. i left ft for stars though (just hit supernova). how are the 50/100pl games on there now?
Haven't played there for a while. A couple of months ago they were pretty bad.
I want to steer away from regular results oriented posts, but I do want to update regularly, so for today I'll do some realtime hand analyses.
I can't be bothered to look it up, but it went:
I open JTo in late mp, unnkown minraises IP, I call. flop is T8x mono giving me a flushdraw, villain bets 1/2P, I call. Turn bricks, I check and now he overbets pot slightly. about $35 into $32. He has $45 left.
I have him on KK+ at this point almost exclusively, and I kind of want to discount AA with the nfd (which as it turned out was what he had). If I can somewhat discount flushdraws it's an ldo call, and that's what my thought process was in the hand: I have 14 outs to beat KK+ without a flushdraw. I get slightly less than 2:1, I need slightly more than 2:1... Still the amount I have to make on the river to even it out should be around 1/10th pot. 9/44 I won't make anything and 5/44 I should make $45 pretty easily. And tbh I was going to jam flushes as well, which as it turned out would have been disastrous.
Anyway, I wanted to figure out how much I need to make on the river with 2pr or trips in the same situation if we were deep and his range is KK+ without weighting for or against flush cards in his range.
I'm not gonna type that out cos I figure I've already lost everyone, but it's about 125% pot on the river.
So remember this kids: if you equity split 9/45 and can vbet 5/45 against an overbet on the turn, you need to make 125% pot on the river to justify the turn call.
Sooo I guess I'll be smarter than that next time.. or put people on better ranges.
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