$0.25/$0.50 Ante $0.10 No Limit Holdem
FullTiltPoker
9 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($50)
UTG+1 ($53.40)
MP1 ($50)
MP2 ($31.60)
MP3 ($114)
CO ($62.20)
BTN ($54.45)
SB ($90.40)
Hero ($88.05)

Pre-Flop: ($1.65, 9 players) Hero is BB
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50, 5 folds, SB calls $0.25, Hero checks

Flop: ($2.40, 3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2, UTG+1 folds, SB calls $2

Turn: ($6.40, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($6.40, 2 players)
SB bets $10, Hero folds

Final Pot: $16.40

SB wins $16.10 (net +$3.50)

Hero lost $2.60
UTG+1 lost $0.60









Funny comment in irc by I forgot who:

"Yeah, I'd fold that too."
*pause*
"Wait, you had a straight?"



Villain was typical weak passive with some % pfr and steal.
At the time I put his range on tons of spades, basically:

I'm pwnt:
Asxs minus A8s = 9
Qsxs: ~5
Tsxs: ~3 - let's give him one pair +fd combo that he calls the flop with
+3 xsxs whatever
TQo: 12
= 32

split:
7T 8T 9T TJ TK: 42



What I wanna know is what my ipwnz range needs to look like to make this break even.

42 times I win 3.2 = 134
32 times I loose 10 = 320
= -187
/16
= 11 times I need to win 16 to break even

I'm convinced that his bluffing range is microscopical.
I heavily discount JJ, and I doubt he'll bet that much with 99 but let's be generous: 3
KJ, K9 for 9x each maybe... but idk.
Like so often I don't think it matters wtf I do here.