2013: Make or break

Went to the casino today and was down 2.1k in 6 hours. Couple losing sessions in a row, need to right the ship. Running a few too many bluffs, probably since I'm card dead overall. I can't let that dictate running bad bluffs.

16 visits
$18k
Total hours: 90 hours
Hourly: $200
Hands: 4500 hands (50 hands/hour)

Played ok but not great. I was very card dead again, but kept getting AK/AQ in spots facing LP opens or other opens in spots I had to 3b. I kept bricking flops in these spots while I had a bad image, which makes them hard to play. I should potentially start flatting AQ/AK pre on occasion when I have a bad image vs stations. THey won't fold pairs on low boards for sure.

Few interesting hands at 5/5:

1. UTG+1 opens to $25 ($1600), Hero MP ($1400) 3b to $80 with , SB ($680) bad player (though I didn't realize how bad until this hand) cold calls, UTG calls.
Flop ($250), , UTG cks, Hero bets $220, SB calls and UTG folds.
Turn ($690), SB checks, hero shoves $380. In retrospect, even though I knew SB was weak here I don't think I have enough behind to get a fold.
SB calls with (holy!) and wins.

-$680

2. This hand was a very read based play. Villains line made no sense, and after the turn I concluded he had air and would likely call most rivers other than potentially a heart.

UTG ($840) opens $25, Hero UTG+2 3b to $80 with , UTG calls.
Flop ($170), UTG cks, Hero bets $110 , UTG calls.
Turn ($390), UTG donks $270.
At this point in the hand I decided that his line made ZERO sense. I'm putting on a range of hands that are mostly draws that won't have very good SD value and can't c/c turn again in case I ck back river. Hands like JT, QJ, Axhh, KJhh, KQhh type stuff. I decide to call turn and call any non-heart river mostly.
River ($930), Villain shoves all-in for $380. I call and villain shows which was killer but I feel pretty good about my read and being able to hero call this spot correctly.

-$840

3. Hero ($1000) opens BTN $30 over 1 limper. BB calls and limper calls.
Flop ($100): , ck ck, hero bets $55, BB calls and limper folds.
Turn ($210) , ck, Hero bets $150, BB calls. I think the turn barrel is decent since a lot of Jx will fold and if Jx don't fold they will definitely fold a river. I also think hands like QT/JT/KQ etc may peel this turn but fold river. QJ is the only hand I'm worried about after this turn.
River ($510) ck, Hero bets $350. I need villain to fold better 41% here for this bluff to be good. I think given my frequency of raising LP, he for sure 3b AJ/AQ type hands. I'm mostly worried about him potentially calling QJ or having slow played A8, but I think he folds Jx, Qx and one pair Ax hands on river.
Villain calls with

-$620ish