Hey guys,

Haven't written a blog post in a while!

Been grinding away the last few months. Overall felt like I've been playing well this year, though the results haven't been coming in. Will strongly have to revisit my future online grind beyond this year if the same persists, or potentially pondering a transfer to grinding live once or twice a month or something on the side.

I'm down about $10.8k on year, and getting rocked at about $6-7k under EV. Even still it's not overly satisfying knowing my EV is still down. I'm pretty sure I'm running bad in terms of variance as well, but that's hard to measure.

Decided to run a few filters yesterday, and some of the results I found were somewhat surprising for the year.

Flatting 4bets:
-I'm down $5.5k when I run the filter -> 3b = true, faced 4b = true, called 4b= true, allin-preflop = false
-This filter was about -1800bb/100 which is HORRIBLE
-Assuming all my 3bets are to around 7-8bb, then 3b and folding all 4b with marginal hands would be about -800bb/100 loss, so much better than my result from flatting
-it's also interesting that these 5.5k in losses represents about 50% in all losses, while only representing 0.07% of all hands in this years sample - although it's known subconsciously it's surprising that flatting 4b is quite THIS bad
-adjustment number 1: STOP FLATTING 4B!

All-in preflop
-Running the filter -> allin preflop = true
-my average preflop allin EV is 48% (but checking other regs stat, they seem to be on average about 50-60% range), I'm not sure if this is bad or not, intuitively it seems ok to be a bit under 50% but this depends on how HEM calculates this. If I'm actually consistently 35% in huge pots, and 60% in small pots, this is obviously bad.
-When I'm allin pre, I'm down $12k! (mind you EV is around -$4k but even still)
-This represented 365 total all-ins, and of these all-ins only 20 or so were NON TT+, AQ+, AK+
-Of these 20 NON TT+,AQ+,AK+, I was down about $16k
-The clear message here is: STOP JAMMING LIGHT
-Given only 20/365 were marginal jams, I don't think my fold to 4b stat will skyrocket if I tighten up either

Although I'm down $11k this year, and only $4-5k EV, there's something satisfying in knowing that I have around $21k in losses due to spew flatting 4b and spew 5b jamming.

Time to right the ship!