2013: Make or break

Originally Posted by Alexos

I don't like leading the river, your perceived range is too strong for that, and you don't even have the nuts. 66-77-88, 7x beat you, and overpairs/bluffs won't even bet on that card. I guess I'm suggesting a c/f river.

Doesn't c/c c/c lead here look kind of spazzy last ditch attempt for a flush draw to win?

Or at least.. don't non-believers think of it that way?

Leveling wars

One thing I find about leveling is that if someone takes an unorthodox line (ie: overbetting a particular street) and wins vs you, then they are more likely to run a bluff with a similar line later on in the session.

Really, if villain triples you and wins they are probably more likely to attempt some bluff later vs you expecting you to respect them, regardless if there is anything unorthodox about it.

This particular villain double barelled vs me and overbet the river and won. He also made a smile in chat after, so it was clear we both understood that he took that line and won.

This hand is not so long after. The turn really isn't a great card but when he overbets I expect that he's thinking I'm going to respect it and fold (since I lost earlier to his overbet), so he might not overbet here if he actually hit the A or had a strong hand.

$2/$4 No Limit Holdem
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($451.80) 113bb
CO ($470.10) 118bb
BTN ($594.80) 149bb
SB ($558.90) 140bb
griffey24 (BB) ($422.10) 106bb

Pre-Flop: ($6, 5 players) griffey24 is BB
3 folds, SB raises to $12, griffey24 calls $8

Flop: ($24, 2 players)
SB checks, griffey24 bets $16, SB raises to $40, griffey24 calls $24

Turn: ($104, 2 players)
SB bets $140, griffey24 calls $140

River: ($384, 2 players)
SB checks, griffey24 checks

Final Pot: $384
SB shows

griffey24 shows


griffey24 wins $381 (net +$189)

SB lost $192

Originally Posted by griffey24

Doesn't c/c c/c lead here look kind of spazzy last ditch attempt for a flush draw to win?

Or at least.. don't non-believers think of it that way?

Maybe, not sure. It's still a very good card for your range. This line would make more sense if there weren't 2 straights possibilities on board.

You don't have many FDs, only like 78ss, 89ss, 9Tss, and JTss, QTss, QJss which might 3bet pre or fold turn.

Played really really well today, probably one of my best sessions in a long time and definitely best session so far this year.

Made some good reads on the river and raised in spots I might not otherwise raise or raise call.

Hand 37)
-Villain is kinda meh bad, and FPS'ish
-Turn is close, could definitely be a bet, but ppl's calling ranges are just so wide on rivers after you check back turns so decided to pot control here
-after river sizing I'm very confident this player isn't betting like that here with a flush, and then given my turn check back I know he thinks I can't have a flush so I'm at the top of my range

$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($552.50) 276bb
UTG+1 ($276.10) 138bb
griffey24 (CO) ($205.25) 103bb
BTN ($353.60) 177bb
SB ($75) 38bb
BB ($252.70) 126bb

Pre-Flop: ($3, 6 players) griffey24 is CO
2 folds, griffey24 raises to $5, 2 folds, BB calls $3

Flop: ($11, 2 players)
BB checks, griffey24 bets $11, BB calls $11

Turn: ($33, 2 players)
BB checks, griffey24 checks

River: ($33, 2 players)
BB bets $11, griffey24 raises to $35, BB raises to $80, griffey24 calls $45

Final Pot: $193
BB shows

griffey24 shows


griffey24 wins $190 (net +$94)

BB lost $96


Hand 38)
This is a spot I feel I normally just flat river since he's pretty polarized, though I'm aware villain can value bet thin and he's also pretty aggro (cbet most Ax), so this river really felt like KQ to me (especially due to sizing) - I probably flat if he bets harder
-He ended up b/c KJ

$2/$4 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($734.40) 184bb
UTG+1 ($121.20) 30bb
CO ($374) 94bb
BTN ($584.90) 146bb
SB ($400) 100bb
griffey24 (BB) ($598.80) 150bb

Pre-Flop: ($6, 6 players) griffey24 is BB
4 folds, SB raises to $12, griffey24 calls $8

Flop: ($24, 2 players)
SB checks, griffey24 checks

Turn: ($24, 2 players)
SB bets $18, griffey24 calls $18

River: ($60, 2 players)
SB bets $35, griffey24 raises to $80, SB calls $45

Final Pot: $220
griffey24 shows


griffey24 wins $217 (net +$107)

SB lost $110




Winnings on the month: $1,536
Avoidable losses on the month: $500

Winnings on the year: $1750
Avoidable losses on the year: $6000