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Courtie - yep entire range. Well certainly entire bluff range and value range. Maybe there are some in between hands like 55-99,78ss type stuff that I may take a differently line with.
Why should we only bet $16 with a bluff here?
This seems like pretty reasonable sizing with QQ+ here for sure. The pot is $68 on flop and we bet $16 on flop with ~360 behind. Turn brings whatever, we bet $65-$70 into $100 if we'd like. That leaves $290 behind on the river and the pot is $240. I wouldn't mind having closer to pot left, but it's certainly a reasonable size to have left behind to choose to bet $135 into $240 or choose to overbet shove by a bit into $240 and let him decide what's up, depending on the dynamic up to that point.
From what I can tell this type of sizing works decently well at $200nl+, where I'd imagine people are folding mostly because they realize the probability of firing $16 and NOT firing again is very low, so they just cut their losses, because they don't want to call two+ barrels with their range. It's possible people at lower stakes peel this flop, but they will peel with sooo many hands that can't handle heat on this board too.
Other sizing spots:
2)
$2/$4 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG ($1,109.35) 277bb
UTG+1 ($335.80) 84bb
CO ($766.60) 192bb
BTN ($436.50) 109bb
SB ($396) 99bb
griffey24 (BB) ($400) 100bb
Pre-Flop: ($6, 6 players) griffey24 is BB
2 folds, CO raises to $12, BTN calls $12, 1 fold, griffey24 raises to $50, CO folds, BTN calls $38
Flop: ($114, 2 players)
griffey24 bets $35, BTN folds
Final Pot: $114
griffey24 wins $181 (net +$96)
CO lost $12
BTN lost $50
3)
Sure if you bet small, something like this might start happening. So reads help if you know that ppl generally call down strong, or you expect people to play back. I don't expect this villain to ever min-raise here with clubs, and he's not the type to do that with KQ+ either.
$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG ($203) 102bb
UTG+1 ($200) 100bb
CO ($213.25) 107bb
BTN ($271.95) 136bb
griffey24 (SB) ($250) 125bb
BB ($196.67) 98bb
Pre-Flop: ($3, 6 players) griffey24 is SB
3 folds, BTN raises to $6, griffey24 raises to $25, 1 fold, BTN calls $19
Flop: ($52, 2 players)
griffey24 bets $14, BTN raises to $28, griffey24 raises to $50, BTN folds
Final Pot: $108
griffey24 wins $149 (net +$74)
BTN lost $53
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