Horrendous run continues EV-wise and practically even now for EV. I'm running well in all-in confrontations however to keep my head above water, but the way the boards are running out is killing my win-rate and I'm just not getting any similar run-outs going my way. However, I am most likely overdoing the slow playing in certain spots on the basis that 80%+ of the time I won't be outdrawn. Yada yada, moan moan moan...
Anyway, some examples where I probably don't help myself, but the run-out still sucks:
Hand (a)
Villain is nitty. Check is a time-out, although I don't hate it against this guy. Turn should be a jam or fold as villain clearly likes his holding. I should probably get away on the river as he is pretty much 55 and JTs always.
Button had J, 10 (full house, tens over Jacks).
Hero didn't show 2, 2 (full house, twos over tens).
Outcome: Button won $48.35
Hand (b)
Villain is spazzy. He's always AK or AA on the turn given reads when he takes this line, but I don't think the flop slow play is optimal. Realistically though, there are pretty much zero cards I'm scared of given villain's likely range when I flat the flop and I figure this is just a cooler.
Turn: ($12.25) A (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $5.85, SB raises to $11.70, Hero raises to $19 (All-In), SB calls $7.30
River: ($50.25) K (2 players, 1 all-in)
Total pot: $50.25 | Rake: $2
Results below:
Spoiler:
SB had A, A (full house, Aces over Kings).
Hero didn't show 10, 10 (full house, tens over Kings).
Outcome: SB won $48.25
Hand (c)
Villain is standard TAG. I expect him to call flop with all small overpairs, AQ/AK and some suited club broadways and bet all of these holdings when checked to on the turn (and plan was to chk/jam). I'm therefore only scared of 3 outs in all likelihood on the river, but I should still bet the turn on reflection though and fold out most of these holdings for protection
Turn: ($13.68) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks
River: ($13.68) A (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks
Total pot: $13.68 | Rake: $0.62
Results below:
Spoiler:
Hero had K, K (one pair, Kings).
CO had Q, A (one pair, Aces).
Outcome: CO won $13.06
Hand (d)
Far and away the most interesting hand. Villain is pretty damn lag-spaz. On the turn I flat on the basis that the majority of the deck is fine for my hand and I want this guy to continue with his bluffs, 2-pair and sets on the river. On reflection, this is terrible as I doubt he has many bluffs here. River is meh and I think a fold given bet-sizing and villain's image.