I've been thinking a lot about the following hand lately. It was clear villain's range was narrowed to JJ+ by the river and I grossly over-estimate my fold equity despite my line being strong. In reality, I know that trying to get villains to hero fold overpairs without reads is rarely worth the risk and this hand is therefore spew.

Fwiw, Villain is 13/10/7 over 30 hands and CO is 15/11/2 over 200 hands (pre-flop stats don't seem to be accurate on Rush).

Hero (Button) ($32.14)
SB ($26.10)
BB ($32.37)
UTG ($27.86)
MP ($35.65)
CO ($45.07)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 10, 10
2 folds, CO bets $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, 1 fold, BB raises to $2, CO calls $1.25, Hero calls $1.25

Flop: ($6.10) Q, 9, Q (3 players)
BB bets $4, 1 fold, Hero calls $4

Turn: ($14.10) 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($14.10) 5 (2 players)
BB bets $8, Hero raises to $26.14 (All-In), BB calls $18.14

Total pot: $66.38 | Rake: $3

Results:
Hero had 10, 10 (two pair, Queens and tens).
BB had A, A (two pair, Aces and Queens).
Outcome: BB won $63.38

In the absence of any better information, my standard assumption of villain's range pre-flop is pure value {JJ+, AK} and the plan is mainly to set mine once CO comes along (I don't think this is a squeeze play from the BB without reads given his sizing).

On the flop, I drop AK from villain's range as I don't think many villains use this sizing on this particular flop oop multiway. I call with the intention of villain narrowing my range to {99-TT, AQ, KQs}. I don't really have QQ there as most would assume I would 3-bet BTN with QQ.

On the turn, I don't believe the perception of my range is narrowed, but the river jam is almost never a bluff after flop and turn action. If villain has quad queens then nh, but I mistakenly felt at the time I could get a fold from JJ, KK+.