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Your overpair vs their flopped set

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  1. #1

    Default Your overpair vs their flopped set

    At a full table if you have AA and you raise you'll probably be called by a couple of pocket pairs who will often hit sets when you hold the highest pair and the board is not scary. Then
    Its pretty annoying, because i like to be the one getting the sets rather than the opposite.
    I've had a look around for some posts on a decent strategy to counter the set problem and came up short. (i just dont have the time to look through all the archives, especially since i think im using it wrong)

    If there's anybody out there who has formulated some way of coping with the damned set-getters other than just using reads and all that useless nonsense (j/k (although because of large pools of players reads can be hard to obtain as everyone knows) )

    If there have been any posts that i've missed can someone please point me to them (and sorry if you get hundreds of posts like this every month)
    unless im mistaken this is not a very well touched subject around here, maybe because theres nothing you can do...

    So other than using standard reads of a player is there any way to get rid of them, or any optimum strategy to use when raising with your big pp's when you know a lot of them want to hit sets
    you cant handle the truth!
  2. #2
    Lukie's Avatar
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    Default Re: Your overpair vs their flopped set

    At a full table if you have AA and you raise you'll probably be called by a couple of pocket pairs who will often hit sets
    I think you vastly overestimate:
    a) the likelihood of any PP being dealt
    b) how likely hitting a set is

    Remember, post-flop, a pair of aces unimproved is just one pair. The deeper you are, the less likely you should go broke with it. Also, for some players, it just becomes so blatantly obvious that they have a set, ie they are normally very passive, conservative players, then one hand they play passively preflop, and all of a sudden 'wake up' and start calling big bets/betting big out of nowhere.
  3. #3
    Muxy's Avatar
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    Default Re: Your overpair vs their flopped set

    Quote Originally Posted by Lukie
    At a full table if you have AA and you raise you'll probably be called by a couple of pocket pairs who will often hit sets
    I think you vastly overestimate:
    a) the likelihood of any PP being dealt
    b) how likely hitting a set is

    Remember, post-flop, a pair of aces unimproved is just one pair. The deeper you are, the less likely you should go broke with it. Also, for some players, it just becomes so blatantly obvious that they have a set, ie they are normally very passive, conservative players, then one hand they play passively preflop, and all of a sudden 'wake up' and start calling big bets/betting big out of nowhere.
    I don't know the odds of other PP's being dealt to the table but I know you flop a set 11.8 % of the time.
  4. #4
    Blinky's Avatar
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    What lukie said.

    A set can be tricky to detect. Check out this thread by MIdas06:

    http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...ic.php?t=29053

    In general, stuff to look for:

    1) the nutpeddling/setfarming rock
    2) early position limp/callers (who DO NOT frequently limp/call in EP) that start playing back at you

    You will probably pay the set off in part(see Midas06's first example). Make it your goal to avoid paying with your entire stack.
    Quote Originally Posted by Rondavu
    We will not support your pocket pair aggression.
  5. #5
    bigred's Avatar
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    Besides reads on players, the biggest betting pattern of sets is a call on flop and a minraise on turn (assuming you're throwing out bets on flop and turn). It's like all the fish took "how to play a hit set 101".

    If you see a guy who limped and called your raise, and you see something like this, you're probably in trouble.
    LOL OPERATIONS
  6. #6
    Chicago_Kid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigred
    If you see a guy who limped and called your raise, and you see something like this, you're probably in trouble.
    Completely agree...this is so common at 100NL and below it's almost funny to watch. You need to exercise discipline and lay down AA/KK/QQ in these spots. For me, I get burned against big-time LAGs who I don't believe when they play back...ooooops.

    Exhibit A...just tired and been getting played back at all night, so I decided to "over-power" him. Honestly though...what else could he have???

    Game #1550111484: Hold'em NL ($0.50/$1) - 2006/01/28 - 12:27:21 (ET)
    Table "Cannonade" Seat 3 is the button.
    Seat 1: ACUrness ($95.25 in chips)
    Seat 2: Chi-Kid ($108 in chips)
    Seat 3: familyguy ($220.17 in chips)
    Seat 4: aronsson ($87.50 in chips)
    Seat 5: egger ($82.42 in chips)
    Seat 6: EA.. ($96.75 in chips)
    Seat 7: R@zor ($94.54 in chips)
    Seat 8: OPerez48 ($108.25 in chips)
    Seat 9: Postie73 ($51.25 in chips)
    Seat 10: PlazaPlay ($84.50 in chips)
    aronsson: posts small blind $0.50
    egger: posts big blind $1
    ----- HOLE CARDS -----
    dealt to Chi-Kid [Ah Ad]
    EA..: folds
    R@zor: calls $1
    OPerez48: raises to $5.25
    Postie73: folds
    PlazaPlay: folds
    ACUrness: folds
    Chi-Kid: raises to $9.50
    familyguy: folds
    aronsson: folds
    egger: folds
    R@zor: calls $8.50
    OPerez48: calls $4.25
    ----- FLOP ----- [6c Jd 3d]
    R@zor: checks
    OPerez48: bets $5.75
    Chi-Kid: calls $5.75
    R@zor: raises to $17
    OPerez48: raises to $40
    Chi-Kid: raises to $98.50 and is all-in
    R@zor: folds
    OPerez48: calls $58.50
    ----- TURN ----- [6c Jd 3d][Td]
    ----- RIVER ----- [6c Jd 3d Td][5h]
    ----- SHOW DOWN -----
    Chi-Kid: shows [Ah Ad] (A Pair of Aces, Jack high)
    OPerez48: shows [Jh Js] (Three of a kind, Jacks, Ten high)
    OPerez48 collects $241 from Main pot
    ----- SUMMARY -----
    Total pot $244 Main pot $241 Rake $3
    Board [6c Jd 3d Td 5h]
    Seat 1: ACUrness folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 2: Chi-Kid lost
    Seat 3: familyguy (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 4: aronsson (small blind) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 5: egger (big blind) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 6: EA.. folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 7: R@zor folded on the Flop
    Seat 8: OPerez48 showed [Jh Js] and won ($241) with Three of a kind, Jacks, Ten high
    Seat 9: Postie73 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 10: PlazaPlay folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    ****HAND ENDS****
    "Been gone so long, forgot how to poker"
  7. #7
    bigred's Avatar
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    Minraising a previous raise with AA is asking to get your rockets cracked.
    LOL OPERATIONS
  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by bigred
    Minraising a previous raise with AA is asking to get your rockets cracked.
    I 2nd that, pop it to $15-$25 or even more. Easier to put all chips in the middle on most flops against likely lower overpair.
    "How could I call that bet? How could you MAKE that bet? It's poker not solitaire. " - that Gus Bronson guy
  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by bigred
    Minraising a previous raise with AA is asking to get your rockets cracked.
    Bingo. It also screams AA...I never see a standard raise get minraised except by AA.
  10. #10
    johnny_fish's Avatar
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    Never minraise with AA, only with better starting hands:

    ** Game ID 675311879 starting - 2006-02-06 00:49:19
    ** Casino Boogie [Hold 'em] (1.50|3.00 No Limit - Cash Game) Real Money

    - Given sitting in seat 1 with $282.74
    - UlaseeS sitting in seat 2 with $37.00
    - LOTSACASH sitting in seat 3 with $279.55
    - mi1elda sitting in seat 4 with $556.05
    - dastra sitting in seat 5 with $59.76
    - JoePlague sitting in seat 6 with $228.35
    - frankmagnet sitting in seat 7 with $295.50 [Dealer]
    - pbags87 sitting in seat 8 with $147.75
    - johnny291281 sitting in seat 9 with $322.42
    - TripGOD sitting in seat 10 with $300.00 [Sitting out]

    pbags87 posted the small blind - $1.50
    johnny291281 posted the big blind - $3.00
    ** Dealing card to johnny291281: 8 of Hearts, 2 of Hearts
    Given folded
    UlaseeS called - $3.00
    LOTSACASH folded
    mi1elda folded
    dastra called - $3.00
    JoePlague folded
    frankmagnet raised - $9.00
    pbags87 folded
    johnny291281 raised - $15.00
    UlaseeS folded
    dastra folded
    frankmagnet called - $15.00

    ** Dealing the flop: King of Hearts, 8 of Diamonds, 8 of Clubs
    johnny291281 bet - $30.00
    frankmagnet called - $30.00

    ** Dealing the turn: 10 of Hearts
    johnny291281 bet - $80.00
    frankmagnet called - $80.00

    ** Dealing the river: Jack of Clubs
    johnny291281 went all-in - $200.42
    frankmagnet went all-in - $170.50
    frankmagnet shows: Ace of Clubs, King of Spades
    johnny291281 wins $595.50 from the main pot

    End of game 675311879

  11. #11
    BankItDrew's Avatar
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    If on streets 2 or 3 and your bet gets min raised or more, your opponent may have more than one pair.
  12. #12
    You can't combat it, but you can raise more hands preflop other than high PP so that your continuation bets improve their EV.
    What's the difference between a large cheese pizza and a poker player?

    A large cheese pizza can feed a family of four.
  13. #13
    bigred's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Iconoclastic
    You can't combat it.
    On this note, I think it simply comes down to what you want to be showing down against an op. Don't think of it as protecting against sets. Think of it in the general poker view of what am I wlling to showdown with this op and is an overpair in that category.
    LOL OPERATIONS
  14. #14
    What I'll do is if I'm on a bit of a downswing I'll just go all in preflop.Also I will push any raise or reraise before/after me.Less stressful.
  15. #15
    Just jack it up a bunch and price them out of a call. Then take your hand to the felt.

    I would play Aces the same way as this...

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

    UTG+1 ($147.50)
    MP1 ($99.50)
    MP2 ($30.50)
    MP3 ($98.50)
    CO ($165.05)
    Button ($13.50)
    SB ($44.25)
    Fnord ($116.10)
    UTG ($141.80)

    Preflop: Fnord is BB with A, K.
    1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $4, 1 fold, MP2 calls $4, 3 folds, SB calls $3.50, Fnord raises to $20, UTG+1 folds, MP2 folds, SB calls $16.

    Flop: ($48) T, 4, 6 (2 players)
    SB checks, Fnord bets $25, SB folds....
  16. #16
    bigred's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by WhooFleuryScores
    What I'll do is if I'm on a bit of a downswing I'll just go all in preflop.Also I will push any raise or reraise before/after me.Less stressful.
    So your play will be result oriented on whether or not you're having a bad day? Doesn't make much sense. You shouldn't be playing if you're tilted in anyway by results.
    LOL OPERATIONS

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