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Your Friendly Neighbourhood Jiggus
Hi everybody.
Been away from the forums for a while. One reason has been the birth of our second child -- and first girl -- on Aug. 22, so I'm very happy for that. The other reason is that I've been feeling quite confident at $25 NL after Miffed analyzed some of my hands, and after I took quite a long break from the gaming tables. However, that good fortune was short lived, and now I am back to the beginning again. Sisyphus has nothing on me.
I've had some very generous help from Miffed in the recent past, and I've already e-mailed him directly with this, yet another sad tale of moronic Jiggus' misadventures, but I thought that I'd also post it up here.
Since September 13th I've dropped to -18.28 BB/100 (over 2,025 hands). It's taken me down to under $500 again (from a zenith of $715 a couple of weeks ago). I'll just mention some other stats for this mega-losing run.
VPIP = 14% (so, I'm playing quite tightly, as usual).
Lost: = -$185
WSF% = 25.34% (I don't hold much value in this stat. If I only played TT - AA, I'm sure it could be up to 50%, but I'd only be winning .004 BB/100).
PFR% = 3.65% (Yes, I've dropped down from a high point of around 6%. This is passive, for most of you, but it is still about 1% higher than I played at the $10 NL tables).
Now, contrast the above with my greatest ever winning run at $25 NL.
2,923 hands.
VPIP = 16% (slightly looser but still pretty standard for me).
Won: + $107
WSF% = 24.76% (see, it's noticeably less than above, but my results are incredibly better; ergo, a meaningless stat).
PFR% = 3.59%
Win rate: 7.35 BB/100 (by far my best ever at this limit).
I am incredibly flummoxed by this situation. It has shattered my scant confidence. My only conclusion is that I am a slightly below average player and am incapable of improving (read, "MORON"). 19,000 hands is enough to proove a case, I think. Over that period I have maintained a pretty constant -2.75 BB/100, and in the last week I've been getting beaten like a red-headed stepchild.
I think that all I can do is drop down (for like the 10th time) and experiment with different styles. Tight/passive (which has made me a lot of money at $10NL), megalo, and tight/uber-aggressive. See which one is the most profitable, if any.
And I know that many of you will miss that I've played 19,000 hands at $25 NL, so I'll mention it again for you unastute readers: I've played 19,000 hands at $25 NL and am a BIG Effin' Loser. And for those of you who don't know me from here, yes, I did beat $10 NL ( all at Paradise, by the way) by playing passively. As my aggression increases, so do my losses. Which points to the possiblity that I dont' know how to be aggressive in the correct manner, or that aggression may not work athe tables I play at. (That's sure to get some ridicule, I know).
Which leads me to another theory (Jiggus' 4th Axiom of NL Poker): styles that work on one site at certain times and limits will not work at another site at certain times and limits (Sx + Tx + SiX + LiX) != (Sx +Tx + SiX +LiX).
But I must get back into the lab at the lower limits and try and prove my theory.
If anyone other than Miffed would like to have a gander at my top 10 losing hands from the last 4 days (for a loss of over $180), please e-mail me and I'll send you a Notepad file. [email protected]
Many thanks to you all for your time and advice, or scorn.
Jigs
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