|
 Originally Posted by Myke
So while villian made have made the perfect choice on the flop/ turn/ river, his intial and argueably only mistake cost him the hand.
I watched a few episodes of "european poker tour" two days ago and I saw the real pros make this mistake too?..
If I minraise QQ and then flop overpair and an opp will call my 2/3 pot bet with TP.. that's a dream scenario really.
I' m not experienced enough to call that size bet on the flop with TPLK, but it looks like less than the pot, so its callable. My respect to Hero.
Villain only had 6700 left, and Hero called a 3500 bet. Not too much implied odds there. Hero was beat, and had 4% to hit a jack on the turn and 6% to hit a 7 on the turn. That's about 10%.. he would have had to fold to a raise after the other 90% of the cards show up on the turn. Doesn't really look +EV to me?
Then he got his 4% chance J. Villain sensed he was beat as he checked. After this there's a 2% chance on another J on the river, which means Villain has to auto-call. Also a 4% of a Q, making him the winning player. All the other cards.. he might have called a raise, or an all-in, but this isn't too sure.
Also note that his stack was 15BB.. so even a minraise is more than 1/8th of his stack. The implied odds here aren't all that great.
Just trying to discuss it btw.. if I miss something, plz point it out to me.
More likely he wanted a weaker hand to push over him. Saw a guy do this with JJ on the "European Poker Tour".
|