when you are playing your opponent... making a solid read/bets... counting on him folding or your outs.

and in situations where MOST of the time your hand is gonna be good but your opponent flopped the nuts vs your set.... or your set of 9's beaten by a set of J's.

for example... your playing 25NL vs a loose insane donk maniac who sat down with $10 and now has $40... his stats are 70/45/8. you flop TPTK vs him and all the money goes in on the turn. he turns over two pair he made on the turn. the same guy is gonna stack of with many hands you dominate. folding in that situation is -EV in the long run.

is that close?