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Re: When should you fold a set with no flush or straight pos
 Originally Posted by deadgoat
Deadgoat, your math is off. If you get a pp, and your opp also has a pp, then both of you will flop a set (btw I assume you're talking about hitting both sets on the flop right? not turn or river?) is..
2/48*2/47*44/46*6=0.01%
But if you flop a set and your opp has a pp, the chance that he flops a set too is..
2/47*44/46*2=8.14%
So if you flop a set and your opp has a pp, it'll be a set-overset situation 1/12th of the time. That means that the real question is.. how often do your opponents have a pp when you flop a set? This isn't that easy to answer because there is predisposition.. some people might have pps as a larger part of their range than others to see a flop with, etc.
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