Quote Originally Posted by Smoooth
Quote Originally Posted by Anosmic
How many hands represent a real sample?
This is something I'd like to know too.
I started playing 25$NL and got 14BB/100 over 500 hands before I realised my BR wasn't high enough for this level($100).
So I moved down to 5$NL and have played 1500 hands for 20bb/100. I originally planned to move up to 10$NL if I got to $200. But if I manage to keep this rate up I will get there in only 2000 hands. What if I'm just lucky and keep getting lucky?
Should I wait til I have a certain number of hands played and a proven rate? Or should I just move up regardless as long as I have the BR?
A 'real' sample is like 500k hands or some far off target like that to know your true win rate.
However lets be realistic.
In the limit forum it is suggested you play 15k hands minimum at each new stakes then move up after the completion of 15k hands or when your br permits.
I use this rule for nl too, so if i play 15k hands at 10bbs/100 or wateva then i move up with the br in hand.
Of course, then you need to satisfy your needs for br management.
A lot of players are still playing 25nl with 1k+ bankrolls which flabergasts me but if thats how ppl want to play then thats ok by me.
So, 15k at any level would be my answer as a minimum sample amount, but i cant emphasise enough how important it really is to move up if you have the br and are winning.