Okay I'll get us started on the basics:

We have 15 outs to improve, so roughly 30% to make our straight or flush. We're facing a PSB so we're getting 2:1 on our call. Right away we pretty much have nearly the correct pot odds - and we have about 16:1 implied given the effective stack sizes. This is ignoring the fact our outs are dirty.

We need to figure out how often our hand won't be good when we hit, so we need to figure out his range and the frequency we'll be getting all the money in bad on the river vs getting it in good.

Here's a turn betting range: Let me know what I missed, what you guys I should remove etc. Just quickly came up with this:

66,Ac9c,Ac8c,Ac5c,Ac4c,Ac3c,Ac2c,8c9c,JcTc,KJs-KTs,QTs,KJo-KTo

Thoughts?

So on the river I guess we could assume he bet/calls with 2pair+, and bet/folds worse?