First read Vrax's excellent post. I'm going to go a bit further with it, just because I want to.Originally Posted by betneer
read this guy for a king, been watching him and the other ones for half an hour before sitting in, they dont seem to care if they loose...
anyway if another spade had come i wouldnt probably call a big bet, i read him right i guess
he couldnt think i had a flush, i semubluffed 4 to flush on flop and continued betting
I'm going to assume action went something like this: folds/limps to villain, he raises, you call shortstacked with a suited connector, anyone else who was in the hand (I presume nobody, as there aren't too many open-limpers at this level) folds. Flop comes K high with 2 spades. You say you read villain for a king.
How? Villain's range of hands certainly include those with a K, most notably AK and KQ, but how can you be certain, or even confident, that he has a K when villain's only action is a late position, opening raise?
Ok, so you call with your suited connector preflop which is terrible. Short stacked, calling a raise heads up and out of position. Hrrrm.
Yeah, so let's just assume that your read is 100% dead-on, and villain has a K. Why bet into him with a shortstack? You are about 5:1 against hitting your flush by the turn and about 2:1 against hitting your flush by the river, yet you eagerly put your money in against a stronger hand with hardly any implied odds if you hit? That sir, is terrible. I suggest you reread this entire thread very carefully, FTR as a whole is doing you a great service.
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