on the
flop you bet far too small, bet bigger so the
fish can make larger mistakes on the
turn and
river.
MP+2 is unlikely to be calling given how hard it is for him to have an ace given you have one and that AK 3bs some % of the time. however once he calls this hand is done. done. done. done. he never has a worse ace and more than likely has at the very least AQ+ if not a T.
Fish overcalls which is also a giant warning sign.
on the
turn you get very very very lucky. you get a card you can c/f the
turn with and bet the
river if it checks through.
MP+2 is not going to bet AQ and he may not even bet AK. However he will certainly bet his T's. which makes this an easy c/f despite
UTG being a
drooler most likely.
HOWEVER. what happened is this, MP2 bet with a
range that crushes yours and the
fish called, and he can have a T as
well and again it's hard to have an A. At this point you have to assume either A) you are beat now or B) there are too many
river cards that you will be put in a redic toughspot if anyone bets. Say like any
river card but an A or J is a horrible
river spot if ANYONE bets. but you decided to c/
over call which is a horribly large mistake.
on the
river you have a really easy c/f but for some reason this is difficult despite MP2 shoving into 2 people, one of which could easily have a T.
but what do i know