Was I wrong????

Originally Posted by Dimaline312000

Well I absolutley know to throw away J3 as a starting hand suited or not but I seem to do that type of stuff a lot. I'l have Q2 or K2 and the Flop wiill come like 229 or something like that and I'll have thrown away 3 of a kind. Now I know its a good play not to play K2 or something like that but how do I know when those typ of cards are coming? I mean you can't always just play AA or AK or AQ or KK can and be successful can you?

First -- you can *never* know when cards like that will hit the flop -- that's the whole point of poker. There is an element of chance -- not luck -- chance can be evaluated using statistics.

Now -- what is the chance that your random hand will flop trips? I think it works out to something like 1 in 136 (I could be wildly off here, but let's assume this number is right). Do you like those odds?

Taking it a step further -- that means you have to win, on average, 135 times your investment to come out ahead in the long run, assuming that you always fold if you don't hit trips on the flop. Do you think that on a board like 229 that you will be able to get someone else to commit at least 135 times whatever you bet originally? Do you even have that much in your stacks when you bet preflop?