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tptk facing flop reraise

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  1. #8
    daviddem's Avatar
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    The point is that when passive players start raising you, there is reason to worry. Not only he is passive, but he is also rather tight for 6 max. If he had AJ or KJ and he raises this flop with them, he would probably have raised them preflop as well, so we should probably discount them a bit as well.

    Limp/call pre, raise flop line from a tight player smells like a set. This is 2NL though so let's try a range of AJ,KJ,33,77,JJ:

    Board: 3d 7c Js
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 52.273% 37.86% 14.41% 7872 2995.50 { JJ, 77, 33, AJs, KJs, AJo, KJo }
    Hand 1: 47.727% 33.32% 14.41% 6927 2995.50 { AsJd }

    And that's without discounting AJ. Things get much worse if you start discounting AJ and KJ.
    Last edited by daviddem; 02-09-2011 at 01:00 AM.
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