Quote Originally Posted by daviddem View Post
I only included the weak top pair hands because of OP's read. But even with these included, it seems to be stretching it to justify a river value bet. I would tend to c/f, and there would be a case to be made for c/c if he bluffs most of the time when checked to.

He may find justified to call the flop and turn with top pair / meh kicker if his kicker is a heart. But then it's harder to see him calling a river shove.

I also wonder what hands a 37/34 flats preflop in MP. Also 37/34 at full ring is not just loose, it's more maniac.
Two points to make here. First, short-handed players probably don't realize how loose 37/34 is in full ring. That would be something like 50/45 or so in six-max, for example.

Second, your logic on the bold doesn't make sense. From a point of view of balanced play, if a hand is only slightly too weak to value bet, then it goes into your check/call range instead of your check/fold range. Here's what Hero's range should look like on the river (not to scale):

<---bluff--|--check/fold--|--check/call--|--value bet-->

From the point of view of exploitative play, we'll need to have about 27% equity against Villain's betting range to make a +EV call. Being that bet bet check/call is the standard line to exploit loose idiots who can call twice with a lot of draws, it seems ridiculous to fold.