Top/Bottom Pair

I'm curious to get into the mind of the microstakes player. This is modeled after a hand I saw earlier today.

Assume $0.10/0.25 blinds, $25 stacks, 9-handed table, and UTG has a PFR% of 4.

You are on the button with A Q. UTG raises to $1, a player in MP calls, you call, and the blinds fold.

The pot is $3.35 and the flop comes A K Q

UTG bets $2.25, and MP folds. You raise to $6, and UTG pushes all-in.

The pot is $33 and it's $18 to call, what's your play and why?

I probably fold and then curse myself for being so weak. To me, pfr 4% from utg makes their range pretty narrow. This type of player is usually passive post-flop, so their push tells me they've got me beat and that at best i'd chop.

I'd fold.

Low PFR% probably means he's only betting premium hands preflop. I'd guess he's holding QQ, KK, AA or AK.

fold. he has either a set, AK, or possibly JTs. the only other hands you beat are KQ weak A's and underpairs. i only see KQ shoving here with a 4% pfr. the rest has you beat. he is also oop, so, more likely to be pushing something real strong here, instead of bluffing...especially since you raised the flop fairly strong. he knows you arent likely to fold.

reasoning: you are now in a marginal, dominated situation. there will be PLENTY of other chances to stack this turkey, or bleed him slowly with cbets. fold here, you'll make your money back soon enough.

my .02

4%PFR = 99+, AQs+, AKo. 99-JJ fold to your flop raise. You are behind 100% here making it correct to fold.

Originally Posted by Bode-ist

4%PFR = 99+, AQs+, AKo. 99-JJ fold to your flop raise. You are behind 100% here making it correct to fold.

This is a hand where PT pays for itself.

I was curious to see if I'd get any OMFG CALL YOU HAVE 2 PAIR responses, but alas I did not =P

OMFG never ever fold 2 pair

Better?

Nice post though, highlights that beginning players tend to overlook their opponents ranges and play their own cards.

Originally Posted by topsoyale

OMFG never ever fold 2 pair

Better?

Nice post though, highlights that beginning players tend to overlook their opponents ranges and play their own cards.

lol, kinda wanted a less obvious example, but thanks

Originally Posted by Bode-ist

4%PFR = 99+, AQs+, AKo. 99-JJ fold to your flop raise. You are behind 100% here making it correct to fold.

nah we are ahead of KQ but its still a pretty easy fold since we are behind so much more.

KQ doesn't raise from UTG if VP$P is 4

Edit: it's obv you already knew that but posting so someone else doesn't say it and make a big deal out of it

Given your oppoent range, this is a fold preflop

def fold

Originally Posted by TLR

Given your oppoent range, this is a fold preflop

obv