Third nuts, looking for a line check

UTG has been running about 35/17 fairly aggresive over about 70 hands or so. But he's been in 7 of nine on the last orbit, never going to showdown.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (9 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop | saw showdown

UTG+1 ($17.61)
MP1 ($12.43)
MP2 ($3.27)
MP3 ($4.93)
CO ($5.88)
Button ($1.93)
SB ($2.12)
Hero (BB) ($6.99)
UTG ($4.01)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 10, 7
UTG bets $0.15, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.15, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.10

I'm thinking the T7 might be good enough to defend the BB with this moron: Due to his recent activity I put him on a fairly wide range: All broadways, Ax, 44+, 56s+, 89o+ plus one gappers 68+

Flop: ($0.47) Q, J, 2 (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.30, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.30

Since he's c-bet all of the last 7 he opened I'm figuring that he was betting his whole range.
Would that be a good guess or should I have tightened his range some?
I'm also thinking that I've got a pretty strong draw, 3rd nuts and BDSFD so c/c to keep him thinking I'm weak.

Turn: ($1.07) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.02, UTG calls $1.02

Ok, so I hit the flush and lead out about PSB to take it down, now since there was soooooooo much air in his c-bet range. When he called I'm thinking JJ, QQ, QJ, AK, Ax, Kx

River: ($3.11) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $1.65, Hero call or shove?

I'm definately not folding the hand, but my ? is should I lead out for another PSB, call or c/shove?
I checked to make him think that I was taking a stab at it on the turn and gave up when he called, hoping that he'll bet the two pair or sets, but his 1/2 PSB made me think that he's trying a suck with THE nuts. Maybe what I tried was too much fancy play shit.

If you're going to check the river, then it should be to call an all-in or go all-in when he bets. I would prefer to just shove the river.

fold pre makes money
flop is fine - although not the only option. Your reasoning is poor, i mean, you just start looking like QK/TJ/draws when you check call.
turn bet is fine, so is check-raise
river don't check unless you're check-shoving. Better to just shove yourself.

River check is really bad, just jam it.

Fold Pre even a player 35/17 is not running that loose from UTG FR. Lead river.
Def Jam over top now.

Daven: I agree...fold pre does make money. Here he's been so aggressive during the last orbit that I decided to take a stand with ATC and got a decent flop. Normally I just dump it. Had the flop been a brick I would not have continued.

All: I was thinking that this was one of the situations that the only hands that'll call a shove on the river would be better hands and he'd drop everything else. Wouldn't I possibly be losing a bet or two from him if I led with a shove where a c/r could get his whole stack?

Originally Posted by Shotglass

Daven: I agree...fold pre does make money. Here he's been so aggressive during the last orbit that I decided to take a stand with ATC and got a decent flop. Normally I just dump it. Had the flop been a brick I would not have continued.

don't use faulty reasoning to play badly. This is especially bad if your only plan for winning the hand was two pair ++

Originally Posted by Shotglass

All: I was thinking that this was one of the situations that the only hands that'll call a shove on the river would be better hands and he'd drop everything else. Wouldn't I possibly be losing a bet or two from him if I led with a shove where a c/r could get his whole stack?

fish love calling. fish like to check back rivers sometimes. fish hate folding weak made hands for a < pot-sized bet. Fish in this spot has < pot behind. Bet is better. Especially when he's on a roll putting money in every street.

Hey, thanks to everyone for the feedback.
Even though it may have worked this time, in the long run bad PF decisions like this will cost me a lot. I had thought that normally I don't play this kind of garbage, but I checked back through my db and found that playing from the blinds is one of my biggest leaks that I'm going to have to work on.

Thanks again.

FWIW...I'd did a c/r he called and showed 3 4 (Hmm, calling a shove as a bluff?)